BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Davenport Assumption
Class: 3A Class Rank: 17 Conference: (8-8) Overall: (12-13) Overall Strength = 72.66
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/03/2004 Home L 61.56 31 52 3A 3 (16- 7) Dubuque Wahlert -11.10 -9.90
2 12/04/2004 Away L 75.69 45 61 4A 4 (19- 6) WDM Dowling 3.03 -19.03
3 12/10/2004 Home W * 73.42 53 47 4A 36 (10-13) Burlington 0.76 5.24
4 12/11/2004 Away L 72.66 44 55 EX 19 ( 1- 0) Orion IL -0.00 -11.00
5 12/14/2004 Home W * 78.13 52 41 4A 38 ( 8-15) Davenport North 5.46 5.54
6 12/17/2004 Home L * 83.14 42 49 4A 3 (25- 1) Bettendorf 10.47 -17.47
7 12/18/2004 Neutral W 72.66 58 48 EX 44 ( 0- 1) Rock Island IL -0.00 10.00
8 12/21/2004 Home W * 79.65 73 64 4A 31 (13-10) Clinton 6.99 2.01
9 01/07/2005 Away L * 68.54 47 64 4A 11 (19- 4) Pleasant Valley -4.13 -12.87
10 01/08/2005 Home L 71.69 55 58 4A 24 (10-12) Iowa City High -0.98 -2.02
11 01/14/2005 Away L * 65.30 53 61 4A 33 ( 9-13) Eldridge North Scott -7.36 -0.64
12 01/15/2005 Home W * 82.16 62 43 4A 44 ( 6-16) Muscatine 9.50 9.50 was 01/04/05 then 01/11/05 now 01/15/05
13 01/21/2005 Away W * 56.39 51 49 4A 48 ( 0-22) Davenport West -16.28 18.28
14 01/25/2005 Home L * 67.32 69 85 4A 8 (18- 5) Davenport Central -5.34 -10.66
15 01/28/2005 Away W * 76.76 49 43 4A 36 (10-13) Burlington 4.10 1.90
16 02/04/2005 Away W * 84.47 66 52 4A 38 ( 8-15) Davenport North 11.81 2.19
17 02/08/2005 Away L * 76.48 52 69 4A 3 (25- 1) Bettendorf 3.81 -20.81
18 02/11/2005 Away L * 69.99 54 58 4A 31 (13-10) Clinton -2.67 -1.33
19 02/15/2005 Away L * 56.50 39 49 4A 44 ( 6-16) Muscatine -16.16 6.16
20 02/18/2005 Home L * 49.20 54 87 4A 11 (19- 4) Pleasant Valley -23.47 -9.53
21 02/25/2005 Home W * 86.96 63 46 4A 33 ( 9-13) Eldridge North Scott 14.29 2.71
22 02/28/2005 Home W 80.95 74 53 3A 43 (13- 8) Clear Creek-Amana 8.28 12.72
23 03/03/2005 Neutral W 77.97 61 52 3A 19 (17- 6) Washington 5.30 3.70
24 03/07/2005 Neutral W 85.71 70 43 3A 47 (11-13) Fort Madison 13.04 13.96
25 03/15/2005 Neutral L 63.31 63 77 3A 8 (23- 4) Carroll -9.35 -4.65
Averages 72.66 55.2 56.2
Best game: 86.96 = 17 point win over Eldridge North Scott
Worst game: 49.20 = 33 point loss to Pleasant Valley
Team stdev: 9.84